The Elephant in the Room

An acquaintance said to me when I mentioned one of my sons was day trading, “Tell him ‘Don’t do it’.  He’ll lose a lot of money.”   In fact, my son went on and made a lot of money, but he was right in the sense my son initially lost money.  My acquaintance said ‘I’ve traded on my own for years and all I’ve learned is I can know what the S and P will do in the next five minutes.  That’s it.  After ten years, that is as far as I have taken it.’    Of course, he was bankrupt in another year.  It took him a year because he started with a lot of inherited money.

Years later I traded with my son, he was teaching me what hedging is all about.  It took me three days of watching the S and P intently to know NOBODY knows what the S and P is about to do within five minutes.  Nobody.  Which is why my acquaintance went bankrupt.  He didn’t have a clue what he was doing.  There is likely 20% a day in minute-to-minute chop that could be made if someone knew within one minute, let alone five, what the S and P is about to do.  At 20% a day in seven weeks $1000 becomes a Million.  In seven more weeks, that Mill is a cool Billion, and in seven after that one would be a trillionaire.  In a little under a year one could own the entire cash reserves in the world!  Not a bad skill to have.

The stock market gets the best and brightest.  There is so much money to be made trading/hedging the really, really bright go there.  I’m not talking about your neighbourhood broker.  I’m talking Wall Street.  Fast, fast minds.  Aggressive young men.  Every single factor affecting the markets is tracked in real time.  Every single factor is understood clearly. 

And, not one person knows one minute in advance what the market will do. 

Think about that. 

Why isn’t there someone who can do this?  Because it is incredibly complicated.  Way too complicated for someone to be able to anticipate what will happen. 

In other words…..IT ISN’T POSSIBLE.

I’ve used this with climate change.  Weather is more complicated than the S and P.  By orders of magnitude.  Climate Science does not get the best and brightest.  It gets mediocre minds, usually ideologically driven.  Weather is at best 5% understood.  There is a reason we can’t be totally accurate vis a vis weather 48 hours in advance almost anywhere in the world.  It’s way too complicated, and way too poorly understood.  The idea we can know the weather thirty years out, or ten years out, when we can’t know what it will be two days out would be laughable, except people in charge are acting as if we can.

Which brings me to the elephant in the room.

Bodies are so complicated they make weather look simple.  If weather is snakes and ladders, bodies are 8-D Chess. 

I was in China on business just before they closed for Chinese New Year holiday January of 2020.  Just as I was leaving, COVID news came out.  I had been working around a lot of people.  Everyone was sick.  I came home sick.  I gave it to my son (and business partner) Daniel, who had all the classic symptoms of early COVID.  Liz didn’t get it.  Consequently, I looked into it.  Very quickly it became obvious it was not a big thing. 

And, then the lunacy hit. 

Since then, I’ve put some thought and reading into the science behind it (there is none regarding the measures taken), and I’ve been reading about viruses and vaccines, how vaccines are developed etc.  Which led me to reading about the immune system. 

I hate to tell everybody this, but what they’re trying to do is NOT POSSIBLE.  It isn’t that it is in the early stages.  It can’t be done.  In the same way no one can know what the S and P is going to do seconds out, no one can know what will happen to anyone who takes a vaccine. 

Not only vaccines.  Almost all drugs are the same.  One can’t know exactly what is happening. 

Modern medicine doesn’t work.  What it is trying to do is not possible. 

I’ve listened to doctors on both sides of the vax issue.  Good thoughtful anti vax docs, and numbskull vax docs.  None of them have a clue.  Get them to explain and the process they explain is nearly infinitely complicated.  Yet they think they can toss a protein, similar to a virus, which they think they might possibly have isolated, into the mix and they think they know what will happen.  And, this is done by injecting it into the arm. 

They can’t know.  The very best.  The very brightest.   Because what they’re trying to do IS NOT POSSIBLE.

Dr. John Ioannidis, a Stanford Doctor, began researching all the big best seller pharma products some years back.  He re-produces the same research from which the company selling it got its approval.  He has yet to find one that beats placebo.  A number of other doctors follow him and try to do the same thing.  None beat placebo.

He has duplicated drugs that sell tens of Billions of dollars worth a year, AND THEY DON’T WORK.

Our entire system of pharmacological based medicine is a fraud.   Some surgery isn’t.  ER care should you have a car accident can save your life.  Insulin, antibiotics, both changed the world.  A couple of vaccines.  Painkillers.  The rest….meh. 

The entire sytem of medicine we practice is a business model, not a health model.  They can’t do what they pretend to be able to do.  They hurt people.  They ruin old people, stuffing most with ten or more different medicines every day.  The vaccines hopefully will turn the spotlight on this seedy industry.

It is time we faced up to this.